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Federal Budget Analyst

A comparison of federal receipts for FY 2016 estimated in various federal budgets against the actual receipts in FY 2016.

Federal Revenue Estimates vs. Actual Federal Revenue
for Fiscal Year 2016

Units: By default, values are displayed in billions of dollars. By using a dropdown control in the table heading you can select millions of dollars, percent of GDP, percent of federal total, percent of overall total, dollars per capita of population, and thousand dollars per capita of population.
Fiscal Year: The default year displayed is the current US government fiscal year. But you can select any year you want using the dropdown control in the table heading. At the top and bottom of the dropdown only years ending in “0” are shown. Select a year to get close, then select the year you want. You can increase or decrease the year using the “yr” text links in the table heading.
full screen
US Federal Government Receipts
Budgeted vs. Actual
-5yr -1yr   Fiscal Year 2016 in $ billion   +1yr +5yr
Estimates for FY 2016 Federal Receipts in US Budgets
 Estimate
in FY12
Budget
 Estimate
in FY13
Budget
 Estimate
in FY14
Budget
 Estimate
in FY15
Budget
 Estimate
in FY16
Budget
 Estimate
in FY17
Budget
 Actual
2016
[+]  Income Taxes2,252.72,218.22,101.32,149.52,118.91,920.41,845.7
[+]  Social Insurance Taxes1,234.11,181.41,160.31,127.31,111.91,100.81,115.4
[+]  Ad valorem Taxes291.3244.2249.0221.1214.9197.9191.1
[+] 
Charts: Click on a to display a bar of data in a row or column of this table.
Click on to display a time-series chart of data in a row.
[+] Drill-down: Click on the [+] to drill down to more detailed numbers.
Fees and Chargesn/an/an/an/an/an/an/a
[+]  Business and Other Revenue41.036.350.858.177.4116.4115.7
[+]  Balance-0.0-0.00.012.02.00.0-1.1
[+]  Total Direct Revenue3,819.13,680.13,561.53,568.03,525.23,335.53,266.7
[+]  Federal Deficit648.7648.8528.4531.1474.3615.8587.4
[+]  Gross Public Debt20,825.020,391.220,026.619,511.619,333.819,433.319,537.4
Revenue:
Pie Chart: Click on a pie icon to display a pie chart. You can create a pie chart for federal, state and local, and overall revenue.
budgeted estimated actual

Data Sources for 2016:
GDP, GO: GDP, GO Sources
Federal: Fed. Budget: Hist. Tables 2.1, 2.4, 2.5, 7.1

Switch to budget

Starting with the 1986 budget, the Office of Management and Budget provides six years of estimated receipts for each revenue source extending from the fiscal year in which the federal budget is published to five years into the future. For instance, the 1986 budget historical tables included estimates for FY85, FY86, FY87, FY88, FY89, and FY90. Starting with FY90, OMB will have made six estimates of revenue for each year before the actual receipts for a fiscal year are reported.

The table shows overall budgeted federal revenues for the specified fiscal year, as estimated in the historical tables in several presidential budgets. You can compare these estimates with the actual revenue for the fiscal year as reported in the budget historical tables after the specified fiscal year is over.

If the “actual” year shows many values as budgeted, it is because the details of actual receipts for the latest year have not yet been released.

You can change the year or drill down to view more detailed revenue information.

Notes

Data Sources: Federal revenue from Budget of the United States Government.

For a discussion of the sources of the government revenue data used here read How We Got the Data for usgovernmentspending.com.

Budget Updates: The president’s budget is typically published each year in February.

Download Estimated vs. Actual Budget Data for 2016

You can download budget data as a CSV file or directly as a tab-delimited table.

Download Data as CSV File

 Click button to download CSV file of data in table

Tab-delimited Table

Here is the budget table with columns tab-delimited. You can cut and paste directly into a spreadsheet:

You can copy all the text in the textbox by clicking your cursor in the box. Then press Ctrl-A and Ctrl-C and paste the text into your spreadsheet.

Top Revenue Requests:

Find DEFICIT stats and history.

US BUDGET overview and pie chart.

Find NATIONAL DEBT today.

DOWNLOAD revenue data.

See FEDERAL BUDGET breakdown and estimated vs. actual.

Check INCOME TAX details and history.

See BAR CHARTS of revenue.

Check STATE revenue: CA NY TX FL and compare.

See REVENUE ANALYSIS briefing.

See REVENUE HISTORY briefing.

Take a COURSE at Taxes 101.

Make your own CUSTOM CHART.

Revenue Data Sources

Revenue data is from official government sources.

Gross Domestic Product data comes from US Bureau of Economic Analysis and measuringworth.com.

Detailed table of revenue data sources here.

Federal revenue data begins in 1792.

State and local revenue data begins in 1890.

State and local revenue data for individual states begins in 1957.

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Next Data Update

> Federal Budget FY18

> data update schedule.

Data Sources for 2016:

GDP, GO: GDP, GO Sources
Federal: Fed. Budget: Hist. Tables 2.1, 2.4, 2.5, 7.1
State and Local: State and Local Gov. Finances
'Guesstimated' by projecting the latest change in reported revenue forward to future years

> data sources for other years
> data update schedule.

FY18 Budget Blueprint Released

On March 16, 2018 the Trump administration issued a Budget Blueprint outlining proposed changes to "discretionary" spending for Fiscal Year 2018. The following table shows the major changes to Budget Authority in excess of $2 billion per agency.

AgencyFY18 Change
in $ billion
Agriculture-4.7
Defense+52.4
Education-9.2
Health and
Human Services
-12.6
Homeland
Security
+2.8
HUD-6.2
Justice-4.0
Labor-2.5
State and Intl Aid-10.9
Veterans+4.4
EPA-2.6

Because usgovernmentspending spending data is based on Historical Table 3.2, it shows spending by function rather than by agency. Until Table 3.2 is published in the final version of the FY18 budget we cannot exactly predict how the Table 3.2 numbers will change at the subfunction level.

But we have applied the Budget Blueprint budget authority changes into the budgeted FY18 outlays by guessing the application of agency level changes to subfunction changes to give a rough feeling of what the Trump changes look like. You can check out what is going on here or here.

The numbers will change when the final FY18 federal budget numbers come out.

Tax links

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usgovernmentrevenue.com was designed and executed by:

Christopher Chantrill.

Email here.


presented by Christopher Chantrill

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